Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district for the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Baumgartner won the 2024 contest by 21 points and advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 19%. Conroy, the 2024 nominee and a former diplomat, secured the second slot for a rematch but trails significantly in fundraising. A recent debate highlighted foreign policy differences, including Iran and tariffs, though no major shifts in voter sentiment have emerged. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers in this eastern Washington seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$54,658 Обс.
$54,658 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
78%
Carmela Conroy (D)
21%
$54,658 Обс.
$54,658 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
$21,627 Обс.
78%
Carmela Conroy (D)
$33,031 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district for the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Baumgartner won the 2024 contest by 21 points and advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 19%. Conroy, the 2024 nominee and a former diplomat, secured the second slot for a rematch but trails significantly in fundraising. A recent debate highlighted foreign policy differences, including Iran and tariffs, though no major shifts in voter sentiment have emerged. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers in this eastern Washington seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,658Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district for the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Baumgartner won the 2024 contest by 21 points and advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 19%. Conroy, the 2024 nominee and a former diplomat, secured the second slot for a rematch but trails significantly in fundraising. A recent debate highlighted foreign policy differences, including Iran and tariffs, though no major shifts in voter sentiment have emerged. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers in this eastern Washington seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$54,658Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district for the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Baumgartner won the 2024 contest by 21 points and advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 19%. Conroy, the 2024 nominee and a former diplomat, secured the second slot for a rematch but trails significantly in fundraising. A recent debate highlighted foreign policy differences, including Iran and tariffs, though no major shifts in voter sentiment have emerged. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers in this eastern Washington seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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