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icon for CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
Політика·Проміжні семестри

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
Політика·Проміжні семестри

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket

$22,288 Обс.

Polymarket

$22,288 Обс.

Aisha Wahab

$13,037 Обс.

77%

Melissa Hernandez

$9,251 Обс.

23%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election for the unexpired term, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after advancing from the June top-two primary with a wide margin. As the newly seated representative and sitting state senator, Wahab benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition in the East Bay district, and a progressive record on issues such as housing and discrimination policy. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board president positioned as a more moderate alternative, received substantial outside spending from groups including AIPAC-linked PACs in the special election but fell short. Both candidates will face off again on the November ballot for the full term in this solidly Democratic district, where the special election outcome and voter turnout patterns among Democratic primary participants shape trader assessments of the general election contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,288
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election for the unexpired term, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after advancing from the June top-two primary with a wide margin. As the newly seated representative and sitting state senator, Wahab benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition in the East Bay district, and a progressive record on issues such as housing and discrimination policy. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board president positioned as a more moderate alternative, received substantial outside spending from groups including AIPAC-linked PACs in the special election but fell short. Both candidates will face off again on the November ballot for the full term in this solidly Democratic district, where the special election outcome and voter turnout patterns among Democratic primary participants shape trader assessments of the general election contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,288
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?

98%
icon for Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

77%
icon for Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?

Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?

95%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Aisha Wahab» з 77%, далі «Melissa Hernandez» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)» згенерував $22.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)» — «Aisha Wahab» з 77%. Наступний — «Melissa Hernandez» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.