Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-35 House Election Winner
CA-35 House Election Winner
$36,362 ปริมาณ
$36,362 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Norma Torres (D)
95%
Mike Cargile (R)
2%
$36,362 ปริมาณ
$36,362 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Norma Torres (D)
$20,423 ปริมาณ
95%
Mike Cargile (R)
$15,940 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,362วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,362วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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