The NY-17 House race stays tightly contested because the Hudson Valley swing district features more registered Democrats than Republicans yet delivered narrow margins in recent cycles, including a slim Kamala Harris edge in 2024. Cait Conley’s June 2026 Democratic primary victory as an Army combat veteran and former National Security Council official established her as a credible challenger emphasizing service and national security credentials. Incumbent Mike Lawler counters with a record of bipartisanship, constituent services, and proven ability to win in purple territory, backed by superior fundraising. Recent polling shows Lawler holding a narrow lead among independents, while Cook Political Report and other trackers rate the seat a toss-up. Trader consensus near 40-43% for each reflects these offsetting strengths ahead of the November 3 general election, with separation likely hinging on turnout, debates, and late-cycle national conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$14,847 ปริมาณ
$14,847 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
43%
Mike Lawler (R)
41%
$14,847 ปริมาณ
$14,847 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,185 ปริมาณ
43%
Mike Lawler (R)
$8,662 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 House race stays tightly contested because the Hudson Valley swing district features more registered Democrats than Republicans yet delivered narrow margins in recent cycles, including a slim Kamala Harris edge in 2024. Cait Conley’s June 2026 Democratic primary victory as an Army combat veteran and former National Security Council official established her as a credible challenger emphasizing service and national security credentials. Incumbent Mike Lawler counters with a record of bipartisanship, constituent services, and proven ability to win in purple territory, backed by superior fundraising. Recent polling shows Lawler holding a narrow lead among independents, while Cook Political Report and other trackers rate the seat a toss-up. Trader consensus near 40-43% for each reflects these offsetting strengths ahead of the November 3 general election, with separation likely hinging on turnout, debates, and late-cycle national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,847วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 House race stays tightly contested because the Hudson Valley swing district features more registered Democrats than Republicans yet delivered narrow margins in recent cycles, including a slim Kamala Harris edge in 2024. Cait Conley’s June 2026 Democratic primary victory as an Army combat veteran and former National Security Council official established her as a credible challenger emphasizing service and national security credentials. Incumbent Mike Lawler counters with a record of bipartisanship, constituent services, and proven ability to win in purple territory, backed by superior fundraising. Recent polling shows Lawler holding a narrow lead among independents, while Cook Political Report and other trackers rate the seat a toss-up. Trader consensus near 40-43% for each reflects these offsetting strengths ahead of the November 3 general election, with separation likely hinging on turnout, debates, and late-cycle national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,847วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-17 House race stays tightly contested because the Hudson Valley swing district features more registered Democrats than Republicans yet delivered narrow margins in recent cycles, including a slim Kamala Harris edge in 2024. Cait Conley’s June 2026 Democratic primary victory as an Army combat veteran and former National Security Council official established her as a credible challenger emphasizing service and national security credentials. Incumbent Mike Lawler counters with a record of bipartisanship, constituent services, and proven ability to win in purple territory, backed by superior fundraising. Recent polling shows Lawler holding a narrow lead among independents, while Cook Political Report and other trackers rate the seat a toss-up. Trader consensus near 40-43% for each reflects these offsetting strengths ahead of the November 3 general election, with separation likely hinging on turnout, debates, and late-cycle national conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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