Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability for California's 11th Congressional District seat, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured roughly 41% of the primary vote to Chan's 30%, benefiting from endorsements by the California Democratic Party and establishment figures, along with substantial independent spending from tech interests. The open seat, created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features a solidly Democratic district where the November 3 general election will decide the winner between the two Democrats. An October 1 debate and ongoing campaign spending patterns remain key variables that could influence final voter turnout and margins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$15,903 ปริมาณ
$15,903 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
64%
Connie Chan
36%
$15,903 ปริมาณ
$15,903 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$4,148 ปริมาณ
64%
Connie Chan
$11,755 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability for California's 11th Congressional District seat, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured roughly 41% of the primary vote to Chan's 30%, benefiting from endorsements by the California Democratic Party and establishment figures, along with substantial independent spending from tech interests. The open seat, created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features a solidly Democratic district where the November 3 general election will decide the winner between the two Democrats. An October 1 debate and ongoing campaign spending patterns remain key variables that could influence final voter turnout and margins before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,903วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability for California's 11th Congressional District seat, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured roughly 41% of the primary vote to Chan's 30%, benefiting from endorsements by the California Democratic Party and establishment figures, along with substantial independent spending from tech interests. The open seat, created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features a solidly Democratic district where the November 3 general election will decide the winner between the two Democrats. An October 1 debate and ongoing campaign spending patterns remain key variables that could influence final voter turnout and margins before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,903วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability for California's 11th Congressional District seat, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured roughly 41% of the primary vote to Chan's 30%, benefiting from endorsements by the California Democratic Party and establishment figures, along with substantial independent spending from tech interests. The open seat, created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement, features a solidly Democratic district where the November 3 general election will decide the winner between the two Democrats. An October 1 debate and ongoing campaign spending patterns remain key variables that could influence final voter turnout and margins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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