**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$18,967 ปริมาณ
$18,967 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
22%
$18,967 ปริมาณ
$18,967 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$4,164 ปริมาณ
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$14,803 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,967วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,967วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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