Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, which encompasses much of eastern Washington including Spokane and is rated Safe Republican by major forecasters. Baumgartner defeated Democrat Carmela Conroy by over 21 points in 2024 and advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 47.4% of the vote to her 18.9%. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Baumgartner’s incumbency advantages and substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1.7 million to Conroy’s $396,000, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican. A September 2026 candidate debate highlighted differences on data centers, energy infrastructure, and foreign policy, though no major shifts in positioning have emerged since the primary. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$55,184 ปริมาณ
$55,184 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
81%
Carmela Conroy (D)
18%
$55,184 ปริมาณ
$55,184 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
$21,983 ปริมาณ
81%
Carmela Conroy (D)
$33,201 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, which encompasses much of eastern Washington including Spokane and is rated Safe Republican by major forecasters. Baumgartner defeated Democrat Carmela Conroy by over 21 points in 2024 and advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 47.4% of the vote to her 18.9%. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Baumgartner’s incumbency advantages and substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1.7 million to Conroy’s $396,000, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican. A September 2026 candidate debate highlighted differences on data centers, energy infrastructure, and foreign policy, though no major shifts in positioning have emerged since the primary. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,184วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, which encompasses much of eastern Washington including Spokane and is rated Safe Republican by major forecasters. Baumgartner defeated Democrat Carmela Conroy by over 21 points in 2024 and advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 47.4% of the vote to her 18.9%. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Baumgartner’s incumbency advantages and substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1.7 million to Conroy’s $396,000, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican. A September 2026 candidate debate highlighted differences on data centers, energy infrastructure, and foreign policy, though no major shifts in positioning have emerged since the primary. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,184วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, which encompasses much of eastern Washington including Spokane and is rated Safe Republican by major forecasters. Baumgartner defeated Democrat Carmela Conroy by over 21 points in 2024 and advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 47.4% of the vote to her 18.9%. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Baumgartner’s incumbency advantages and substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1.7 million to Conroy’s $396,000, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican. A September 2026 candidate debate highlighted differences on data centers, energy infrastructure, and foreign policy, though no major shifts in positioning have emerged since the primary. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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