Recent polling in the reshaped Texas 15th district has shown Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading or tied with incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, driving trader consensus toward the Democrat despite the district's Republican tilt in the 2024 presidential vote. Redistricting adopted in 2025 added substantial new territory unfamiliar to De La Cruz, shifting the competitive landscape and prompting forecasters to rate the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican or Toss-up. Pulido secured a decisive Democratic primary victory in March and has benefited from strong name recognition as a Tejano musician along with endorsements from party-aligned groups. De La Cruz maintains a fundraising edge and legislative record on border and agricultural issues, yet late-August surveys placed Pulido ahead by several points within the margin of error. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity in this majority-Hispanic South Texas seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$20,460 ปริมาณ
$20,460 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
62%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
39%
$20,460 ปริมาณ
$20,460 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
$8,583 ปริมาณ
62%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
$11,877 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in the reshaped Texas 15th district has shown Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading or tied with incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, driving trader consensus toward the Democrat despite the district's Republican tilt in the 2024 presidential vote. Redistricting adopted in 2025 added substantial new territory unfamiliar to De La Cruz, shifting the competitive landscape and prompting forecasters to rate the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican or Toss-up. Pulido secured a decisive Democratic primary victory in March and has benefited from strong name recognition as a Tejano musician along with endorsements from party-aligned groups. De La Cruz maintains a fundraising edge and legislative record on border and agricultural issues, yet late-August surveys placed Pulido ahead by several points within the margin of error. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity in this majority-Hispanic South Texas seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,460วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in the reshaped Texas 15th district has shown Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading or tied with incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, driving trader consensus toward the Democrat despite the district's Republican tilt in the 2024 presidential vote. Redistricting adopted in 2025 added substantial new territory unfamiliar to De La Cruz, shifting the competitive landscape and prompting forecasters to rate the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican or Toss-up. Pulido secured a decisive Democratic primary victory in March and has benefited from strong name recognition as a Tejano musician along with endorsements from party-aligned groups. De La Cruz maintains a fundraising edge and legislative record on border and agricultural issues, yet late-August surveys placed Pulido ahead by several points within the margin of error. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity in this majority-Hispanic South Texas seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,460วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in the reshaped Texas 15th district has shown Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading or tied with incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, driving trader consensus toward the Democrat despite the district's Republican tilt in the 2024 presidential vote. Redistricting adopted in 2025 added substantial new territory unfamiliar to De La Cruz, shifting the competitive landscape and prompting forecasters to rate the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican or Toss-up. Pulido secured a decisive Democratic primary victory in March and has benefited from strong name recognition as a Tejano musician along with endorsements from party-aligned groups. De La Cruz maintains a fundraising edge and legislative record on border and agricultural issues, yet late-August surveys placed Pulido ahead by several points within the margin of error. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity in this majority-Hispanic South Texas seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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