Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$41,718 ปริมาณ
$41,718 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
36%
$41,718 ปริมาณ
$41,718 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$21,638 ปริมาณ
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,080 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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