Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s durable Republican lean, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe GOP territory. The district, anchored in Lancaster County and southern York County, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Smucker’s long incumbency, substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Nancy Mannion, and unopposed primary victories reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Both candidates advanced without primary opposition on May 19. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment that alters local turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$25,794 ปริมาณ
$25,794 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
97%
Nancy Mannion (D)
3%
$25,794 ปริมาณ
$25,794 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
$15,668 ปริมาณ
97%
Nancy Mannion (D)
$10,126 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s durable Republican lean, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe GOP territory. The district, anchored in Lancaster County and southern York County, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Smucker’s long incumbency, substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Nancy Mannion, and unopposed primary victories reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Both candidates advanced without primary opposition on May 19. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment that alters local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,794วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s durable Republican lean, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe GOP territory. The district, anchored in Lancaster County and southern York County, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Smucker’s long incumbency, substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Nancy Mannion, and unopposed primary victories reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Both candidates advanced without primary opposition on May 19. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment that alters local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,794วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s durable Republican lean, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe GOP territory. The district, anchored in Lancaster County and southern York County, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Smucker’s long incumbency, substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Nancy Mannion, and unopposed primary victories reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Both candidates advanced without primary opposition on May 19. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment that alters local turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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