Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's double-digit margin there in 2024. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2000 and now seeking a 14th term, advanced easily through the August 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% against Republican Edwin Feller's 32.9%. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's established record on transportation and armed services issues plus the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenge. Traders price in the structural barriers for Republicans in this northern Washington district stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$32,309 ปริมาณ
$32,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$32,309 ปริมาณ
$32,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 ปริมาณ
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
$19,152 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's double-digit margin there in 2024. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2000 and now seeking a 14th term, advanced easily through the August 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% against Republican Edwin Feller's 32.9%. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's established record on transportation and armed services issues plus the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenge. Traders price in the structural barriers for Republicans in this northern Washington district stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's double-digit margin there in 2024. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2000 and now seeking a 14th term, advanced easily through the August 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% against Republican Edwin Feller's 32.9%. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's established record on transportation and armed services issues plus the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenge. Traders price in the structural barriers for Republicans in this northern Washington district stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen's commanding position in the WA-02 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's double-digit margin there in 2024. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2000 and now seeking a 14th term, advanced easily through the August 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% against Republican Edwin Feller's 32.9%. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's established record on transportation and armed services issues plus the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenge. Traders price in the structural barriers for Republicans in this northern Washington district stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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