Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,234 ปริมาณ
$63,234 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,234 ปริมาณ
$63,234 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,571 ปริมาณ
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,664 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,234วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,234วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย