Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63% re-election margin in 2024 and Kamala Harris's double-digit presidential margin there. Both parties' September 9 primaries were uncontested, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, with Kellie Keenan raising far less than Amo. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the high implied probability for the incumbent. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but historical turnout patterns and the district's partisan composition make major shifts unlikely absent late developments such as scandals or health events affecting the frontrunner before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$36,023 ปริมาณ
$36,023 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
5%
$36,023 ปริมาณ
$36,023 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
$6,061 ปริมาณ
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
$29,962 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63% re-election margin in 2024 and Kamala Harris's double-digit presidential margin there. Both parties' September 9 primaries were uncontested, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, with Kellie Keenan raising far less than Amo. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the high implied probability for the incumbent. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but historical turnout patterns and the district's partisan composition make major shifts unlikely absent late developments such as scandals or health events affecting the frontrunner before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,023วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63% re-election margin in 2024 and Kamala Harris's double-digit presidential margin there. Both parties' September 9 primaries were uncontested, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, with Kellie Keenan raising far less than Amo. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the high implied probability for the incumbent. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but historical turnout patterns and the district's partisan composition make major shifts unlikely absent late developments such as scandals or health events affecting the frontrunner before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,023วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63% re-election margin in 2024 and Kamala Harris's double-digit presidential margin there. Both parties' September 9 primaries were uncontested, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, with Kellie Keenan raising far less than Amo. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the high implied probability for the incumbent. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but historical turnout patterns and the district's partisan composition make major shifts unlikely absent late developments such as scandals or health events affecting the frontrunner before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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