Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$28,689 ปริมาณ
$28,689 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
55%
Rick Brattin (R)
43%
$28,689 ปริมาณ
$28,689 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
$11,506 ปริมาณ
55%
Rick Brattin (R)
$17,183 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,689วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,689วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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