In Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a rematch between Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks is shaping trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Miller-Meeks held the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a wider 2022 margin, making the district one of the nation’s most competitive. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees in June, while independent polling and forecasting models show Bohannan holding a modest edge amid broader midterm dynamics and voter sentiment in the state. A scheduled October 20 debate and ongoing fundraising parity add near-term visibility, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key counties such as Johnson and Scott.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$31,268 ปริมาณ
$31,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
80%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
22%
$31,268 ปริมาณ
$31,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$19,784 ปริมาณ
80%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$11,484 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a rematch between Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks is shaping trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Miller-Meeks held the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a wider 2022 margin, making the district one of the nation’s most competitive. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees in June, while independent polling and forecasting models show Bohannan holding a modest edge amid broader midterm dynamics and voter sentiment in the state. A scheduled October 20 debate and ongoing fundraising parity add near-term visibility, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key counties such as Johnson and Scott.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a rematch between Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks is shaping trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Miller-Meeks held the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a wider 2022 margin, making the district one of the nation’s most competitive. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees in June, while independent polling and forecasting models show Bohannan holding a modest edge amid broader midterm dynamics and voter sentiment in the state. A scheduled October 20 debate and ongoing fundraising parity add near-term visibility, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key counties such as Johnson and Scott.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a rematch between Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks is shaping trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Miller-Meeks held the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a wider 2022 margin, making the district one of the nation’s most competitive. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees in June, while independent polling and forecasting models show Bohannan holding a modest edge amid broader midterm dynamics and voter sentiment in the state. A scheduled October 20 debate and ongoing fundraising parity add near-term visibility, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key counties such as Johnson and Scott.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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