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icon for OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$11,502 Объем

Polymarket

$11,502 Объем

Джанелл Байнем (Д)

$5,502 Объем

94%

Пэтти Адер (Р)

$6,000 Объем

6%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Janelle Bynum's position as the heavy favorite in Oregon's 5th congressional district stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. The district, which spans Portland suburbs to Bend and leans slightly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, carries "likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Patti Adair secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Trader consensus around 93 percent for Bynum reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still influence the November 3 outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,502
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Janelle Bynum's position as the heavy favorite in Oregon's 5th congressional district stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024, combined with decisive primary victories in May 2026 and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. The district, which spans Portland suburbs to Bend and leans slightly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, carries "likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Patti Adair secured the Republican nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Trader consensus around 93 percent for Bynum reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still influence the November 3 outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,502
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-06?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-06?

96%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-02?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-02?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-04?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу OR-04?

94%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джанелл Байнем (Д)» с 94%, за ним следует «Пэтти Адер (Р)» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.5K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Джанелл Байнем (Д)» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Пэтти Адер (Р)» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.