Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in the North Dakota at-large House race due to her decisive June primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican lean. She defeated primary challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin and faces Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer in a November 3 rematch of the 2024 contest, where she prevailed by roughly 38 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95% for Fedorchak reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Potential challengers to the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major late development, such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually strong performance by independent candidate Helene Neville.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей ND-AL
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей ND-AL
$59,855 Объем
$59,855 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джули Федорчак (Р)
95%
Трюгве Хаммер (Д)
4%
$59,855 Объем
$59,855 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джули Федорчак (Р)
$43,062 Объем
95%
Трюгве Хаммер (Д)
$16,793 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in the North Dakota at-large House race due to her decisive June primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican lean. She defeated primary challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin and faces Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer in a November 3 rematch of the 2024 contest, where she prevailed by roughly 38 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95% for Fedorchak reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Potential challengers to the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major late development, such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually strong performance by independent candidate Helene Neville.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$59,855Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in the North Dakota at-large House race due to her decisive June primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican lean. She defeated primary challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin and faces Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer in a November 3 rematch of the 2024 contest, where she prevailed by roughly 38 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95% for Fedorchak reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Potential challengers to the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major late development, such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually strong performance by independent candidate Helene Neville.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,855Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in the North Dakota at-large House race due to her decisive June primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican lean. She defeated primary challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin and faces Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer in a November 3 rematch of the 2024 contest, where she prevailed by roughly 38 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95% for Fedorchak reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Potential challengers to the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major late development, such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually strong performance by independent candidate Helene Neville.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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