The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,8М-2,95М 37%
2,65M-2,8M 30%
2,5М–2,65М 21%
2,2М–2,35М 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<2,2 млн
15%
2,2М–2,35М
15%
2,35М–2,5М
11%
2,5М–2,65М
21%
2,65M-2,8M
30%
2,8М-2,95М
37%
2,95M-3,1M
10%
3,1 млн+
16%
2,8М-2,95М 37%
2,65M-2,8M 30%
2,5М–2,65М 21%
2,2М–2,35М 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<2,2 млн
$71 Объем
15%
2,2М–2,35М
$71 Объем
15%
2,35М–2,5М
$71 Объем
11%
2,5М–2,65М
$90 Объем
21%
2,65M-2,8M
$669 Объем
30%
2,8М-2,95М
$694 Объем
37%
2,95M-3,1M
$63 Объем
10%
3,1 млн+
$79 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Объем
$1,807Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,807Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах в Сенат от Нью-Гэмпшира в середине срока в 2026 году, находиться в диапазоне от 600 000 до 650 000?
35%
Да
Будет ли количество отданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн менее 600 000?
32%
Да
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
41%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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