In Kentucky's open 2026 U.S. Senate race, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a consistent lead over Democrat Charles Booker in available polling of likely voters, consistent with the state's strong Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns. Traders have concentrated probability on the 1.3M-1.4M turnout band as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations for moderate participation in a low-competition contest following the May primaries where Barr consolidated support after receiving President Trump's endorsement. Recent campaign polling and the absence of major late developments have reinforced this positioning, with factors such as get-out-the-vote efforts in urban areas like Louisville and Lexington, weather on November 3, and broader national midterm dynamics potentially shifting totals within the narrower ranges. Historical midterm turnout benchmarks in the state provide the primary reference point for current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,3–1,4 млн 33%
1,7M–1,8M 18%
1,4M–1,5M 13%
1,6M-1,7M 13%
<1,2 млн
1%
1,2М–1,3М
8%
1,3–1,4 млн
33%
1,4M–1,5M
13%
1,5М–1,6М
8%
1,6M-1,7M
13%
1,7M–1,8M
18%
1,8 млн+
<1%
1,3–1,4 млн 33%
1,7M–1,8M 18%
1,4M–1,5M 13%
1,6M-1,7M 13%
<1,2 млн
1%
1,2М–1,3М
8%
1,3–1,4 млн
33%
1,4M–1,5M
13%
1,5М–1,6М
8%
1,6M-1,7M
13%
1,7M–1,8M
18%
1,8 млн+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...In Kentucky's open 2026 U.S. Senate race, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a consistent lead over Democrat Charles Booker in available polling of likely voters, consistent with the state's strong Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns. Traders have concentrated probability on the 1.3M-1.4M turnout band as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations for moderate participation in a low-competition contest following the May primaries where Barr consolidated support after receiving President Trump's endorsement. Recent campaign polling and the absence of major late developments have reinforced this positioning, with factors such as get-out-the-vote efforts in urban areas like Louisville and Lexington, weather on November 3, and broader national midterm dynamics potentially shifting totals within the narrower ranges. Historical midterm turnout benchmarks in the state provide the primary reference point for current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Канзаса в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в диапазоне от 1 000 000 до 1 100 000?
Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Оклахомы в диапазоне от 1 100 000 до 1 200 000?
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Западной Виргинии, находиться в диапазоне от 450 000 до 500 000?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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