Incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in California's 28th congressional district stems from her long tenure, strong primary performance where she secured over 62% of the vote, and the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from forecasters. April Verlato, the Republican nominee and former Arcadia city council member, advanced but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including redistricting effects favoring Democrats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shifts before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$141,309 Объем
$141,309 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джуди Чу (Д)
98%
Эйприл Верлато (Р)
1%
$141,309 Объем
$141,309 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джуди Чу (Д)
$58,313 Объем
98%
Эйприл Верлато (Р)
$82,996 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in California's 28th congressional district stems from her long tenure, strong primary performance where she secured over 62% of the vote, and the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from forecasters. April Verlato, the Republican nominee and former Arcadia city council member, advanced but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including redistricting effects favoring Democrats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$141,309Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in California's 28th congressional district stems from her long tenure, strong primary performance where she secured over 62% of the vote, and the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from forecasters. April Verlato, the Republican nominee and former Arcadia city council member, advanced but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including redistricting effects favoring Democrats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$141,309Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in California's 28th congressional district stems from her long tenure, strong primary performance where she secured over 62% of the vote, and the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from forecasters. April Verlato, the Republican nominee and former Arcadia city council member, advanced but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including redistricting effects favoring Democrats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shifts before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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