Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$40,054 Объем
$40,054 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Зои Лофгрен (Д)
97%
Шейн Льюис (Р)
2%
$40,054 Объем
$40,054 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Зои Лофгрен (Д)
$20,835 Объем
97%
Шейн Льюис (Р)
$19,218 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$40,054Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,054Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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