Sam Liccardo’s commanding position in the CA-16 general election reflects the district’s strong Democratic registration edge and partisan baseline, reinforced by his decisive June 2026 primary victory where he captured over 75 percent of the vote. As the incumbent who won the open seat in 2024, Liccardo maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings across major forecasters. Peter Soulé advanced as the top Republican but trails significantly in visibility and resources. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s history of large Democratic margins, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$107,000 Объем
$107,000 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сэм Ликкардо (Д)
98%
Питер Суоле (Р)
2%
$107,000 Объем
$107,000 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сэм Ликкардо (Д)
$52,842 Объем
98%
Питер Суоле (Р)
$54,158 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo’s commanding position in the CA-16 general election reflects the district’s strong Democratic registration edge and partisan baseline, reinforced by his decisive June 2026 primary victory where he captured over 75 percent of the vote. As the incumbent who won the open seat in 2024, Liccardo maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings across major forecasters. Peter Soulé advanced as the top Republican but trails significantly in visibility and resources. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s history of large Democratic margins, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$107,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo’s commanding position in the CA-16 general election reflects the district’s strong Democratic registration edge and partisan baseline, reinforced by his decisive June 2026 primary victory where he captured over 75 percent of the vote. As the incumbent who won the open seat in 2024, Liccardo maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings across major forecasters. Peter Soulé advanced as the top Republican but trails significantly in visibility and resources. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s history of large Democratic margins, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$107,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo’s commanding position in the CA-16 general election reflects the district’s strong Democratic registration edge and partisan baseline, reinforced by his decisive June 2026 primary victory where he captured over 75 percent of the vote. As the incumbent who won the open seat in 2024, Liccardo maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings across major forecasters. Peter Soulé advanced as the top Republican but trails significantly in visibility and resources. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s history of large Democratic margins, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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