Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads recent polling for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, registering 26% in both Quaest and RealTime Big Data surveys conducted in early September 2026, nine points ahead of the nearest challengers. Her consistent first-place standing in voter preference stems from high name recognition tied to the Bolsonaro family, established PL party infrastructure in the capital, and consolidated support among evangelical voters. The remaining field remains fragmented, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) clustered between 11% and 17% and technically tied within margins of error for the second position. Earlier 2026 reports of internal PL tensions over alliances have not altered her frontrunner status in the latest data. Traders price her at 83% for first place, reflecting the polling gap and limited time before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichelle Bolsonaro 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
Bia Kicis 1.4%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,214 Wol.
$28,214 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
83%
Leila do Vôlei
3%
Bia Kicis
1%
Erika Kokay
1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Marley
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
Bia Kicis 1.4%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,214 Wol.
$28,214 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
$12,178 Wol.
83%
Leila do Vôlei
$4,157 Wol.
3%
Bia Kicis
$4,333 Wol.
1%
Erika Kokay
$2,021 Wol.
1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$794 Wol.
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$801 Wol.
<1%
David Horn
$505 Wol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$795 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$674 Wol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$556 Wol.
<1%
Marley
$381 Wol.
<1%
Tiago
$489 Wol.
<1%
Zanata
$530 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads recent polling for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, registering 26% in both Quaest and RealTime Big Data surveys conducted in early September 2026, nine points ahead of the nearest challengers. Her consistent first-place standing in voter preference stems from high name recognition tied to the Bolsonaro family, established PL party infrastructure in the capital, and consolidated support among evangelical voters. The remaining field remains fragmented, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) clustered between 11% and 17% and technically tied within margins of error for the second position. Earlier 2026 reports of internal PL tensions over alliances have not altered her frontrunner status in the latest data. Traders price her at 83% for first place, reflecting the polling gap and limited time before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,214Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads recent polling for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, registering 26% in both Quaest and RealTime Big Data surveys conducted in early September 2026, nine points ahead of the nearest challengers. Her consistent first-place standing in voter preference stems from high name recognition tied to the Bolsonaro family, established PL party infrastructure in the capital, and consolidated support among evangelical voters. The remaining field remains fragmented, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) clustered between 11% and 17% and technically tied within margins of error for the second position. Earlier 2026 reports of internal PL tensions over alliances have not altered her frontrunner status in the latest data. Traders price her at 83% for first place, reflecting the polling gap and limited time before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$28,214Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads recent polling for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, registering 26% in both Quaest and RealTime Big Data surveys conducted in early September 2026, nine points ahead of the nearest challengers. Her consistent first-place standing in voter preference stems from high name recognition tied to the Bolsonaro family, established PL party infrastructure in the capital, and consolidated support among evangelical voters. The remaining field remains fragmented, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) clustered between 11% and 17% and technically tied within margins of error for the second position. Earlier 2026 reports of internal PL tensions over alliances have not altered her frontrunner status in the latest data. Traders price her at 83% for first place, reflecting the polling gap and limited time before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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