Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the leading challenger for second amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. Guimarães benefits from name recognition as a federal deputy and steady support in stimulated surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, while Gaguim (União) trails but has shown competitiveness in some August readings and secured definitive candidacy approval. High undecided shares and low support for names like Vanderlei Luxemburgo or Ronaldo Dimas keep the second-place outcome fluid. Late-campaign developments, including further polling releases, regional endorsements, or alliance shifts, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 8.6%
Paulo Mourão 3.8%
$25,761 Wol.
$25,761 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
55%
Gaguim
31%
Eduardo Gomes
9%
Paulo Mourão
4%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
3%
Osvany Luz
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 8.6%
Paulo Mourão 3.8%
$25,761 Wol.
$25,761 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$13,917 Wol.
55%
Gaguim
$2,842 Wol.
31%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,282 Wol.
9%
Paulo Mourão
$4,410 Wol.
4%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$386 Wol.
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$364 Wol.
3%
Osvany Luz
$418 Wol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$342 Wol.
1%
Eli Borges
$489 Wol.
1%
Nilton Santos
$358 Wol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$357 Wol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$311 Wol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$284 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the leading challenger for second amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. Guimarães benefits from name recognition as a federal deputy and steady support in stimulated surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, while Gaguim (União) trails but has shown competitiveness in some August readings and secured definitive candidacy approval. High undecided shares and low support for names like Vanderlei Luxemburgo or Ronaldo Dimas keep the second-place outcome fluid. Late-campaign developments, including further polling releases, regional endorsements, or alliance shifts, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,761Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the leading challenger for second amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. Guimarães benefits from name recognition as a federal deputy and steady support in stimulated surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, while Gaguim (União) trails but has shown competitiveness in some August readings and secured definitive candidacy approval. High undecided shares and low support for names like Vanderlei Luxemburgo or Ronaldo Dimas keep the second-place outcome fluid. Late-campaign developments, including further polling releases, regional endorsements, or alliance shifts, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$25,761Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the leading challenger for second amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. Guimarães benefits from name recognition as a federal deputy and steady support in stimulated surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, while Gaguim (União) trails but has shown competitiveness in some August readings and secured definitive candidacy approval. High undecided shares and low support for names like Vanderlei Luxemburgo or Ronaldo Dimas keep the second-place outcome fluid. Late-campaign developments, including further polling releases, regional endorsements, or alliance shifts, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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