Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoManuela D'Ávila 31%
Rigotto 30%
Marcel Van Hattem 27%
Pimenta 11%
$34,663 Wol.
$34,663 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Manuela D'Ávila
31%
Rigotto
30%
Marcel Van Hattem
27%
Pimenta
11%
Sanderson
3%
Tania Peres
<1%
Ric Jones
<1%
Frederico Antunes
<1%
Luciano do MLB
<1%
Milton Cardoso
<1%
Regis Ethur
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
<1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
<1%
Manuela D'Ávila 31%
Rigotto 30%
Marcel Van Hattem 27%
Pimenta 11%
$34,663 Wol.
$34,663 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Manuela D'Ávila
$8,524 Wol.
31%
Rigotto
$3,843 Wol.
30%
Marcel Van Hattem
$11,456 Wol.
27%
Pimenta
$2,574 Wol.
11%
Sanderson
$1,837 Wol.
3%
Tania Peres
$1,032 Wol.
<1%
Ric Jones
$954 Wol.
<1%
Frederico Antunes
$753 Wol.
<1%
Luciano do MLB
$1,089 Wol.
<1%
Milton Cardoso
$340 Wol.
<1%
Regis Ethur
$419 Wol.
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
$830 Wol.
<1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$1,013 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,663Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$34,663Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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