The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate election stems from recent polling showing a technical tie among five leading candidates, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) edging first in most surveys while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within the margin of error for the remaining seat. High undecided rates (often 20-30%) and the rule allowing voters to select two names keep strategic vote allocation and alliance dynamics fluid. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest implied probability for second among named contenders, reflecting his incumbency and consistent mid-teens support, though late shifts in turnout among key blocs or campaign momentum could still reorder the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWeverton Rocha 34%
Lahesio Bonfim 22.9%
Fufuca 22%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,202 Wol.
$35,202 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
34%
Lahesio Bonfim
23%
Fufuca
22%
Roseana Sarney
10%
Eliziane Gama
5%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 34%
Lahesio Bonfim 22.9%
Fufuca 22%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,202 Wol.
$35,202 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$13,052 Wol.
34%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,311 Wol.
23%
Fufuca
$5,749 Wol.
22%
Roseana Sarney
$8,286 Wol.
10%
Eliziane Gama
$1,639 Wol.
5%
Raimundo Moreira
$621 Wol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$692 Wol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$633 Wol.
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$995 Wol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 Wol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate election stems from recent polling showing a technical tie among five leading candidates, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) edging first in most surveys while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within the margin of error for the remaining seat. High undecided rates (often 20-30%) and the rule allowing voters to select two names keep strategic vote allocation and alliance dynamics fluid. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest implied probability for second among named contenders, reflecting his incumbency and consistent mid-teens support, though late shifts in turnout among key blocs or campaign momentum could still reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,202Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate election stems from recent polling showing a technical tie among five leading candidates, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) edging first in most surveys while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within the margin of error for the remaining seat. High undecided rates (often 20-30%) and the rule allowing voters to select two names keep strategic vote allocation and alliance dynamics fluid. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest implied probability for second among named contenders, reflecting his incumbency and consistent mid-teens support, though late shifts in turnout among key blocs or campaign momentum could still reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$35,202Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s October 4 Senate election stems from recent polling showing a technical tie among five leading candidates, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) edging first in most surveys while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within the margin of error for the remaining seat. High undecided rates (often 20-30%) and the rule allowing voters to select two names keep strategic vote allocation and alliance dynamics fluid. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest implied probability for second among named contenders, reflecting his incumbency and consistent mid-teens support, though late shifts in turnout among key blocs or campaign momentum could still reorder the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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