**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 31%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 3.1%
$49,696 Wol.
$49,696 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
41%
Carol de Toni
31%
Esperidião Amin
22%
Décio Lima
3%
Carol
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 31%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 3.1%
$49,696 Wol.
$49,696 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$15,106 Wol.
41%
Carol de Toni
$12,795 Wol.
31%
Esperidião Amin
$11,022 Wol.
22%
Décio Lima
$2,539 Wol.
3%
Carol
$1,025 Wol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$921 Wol.
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$550 Wol.
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$1,498 Wol.
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$942 Wol.
<1%
Lunelli
$1,022 Wol.
<1%
Marcos Dorval
$788 Wol.
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$565 Wol.
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$925 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,696Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$49,696Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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