Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRoseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 Wol.
$26,133 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
11%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Fufuca
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Roseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 Wol.
$26,133 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,918 Wol.
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
$3,795 Wol.
11%
Weverton Rocha
$2,252 Wol.
8%
Fufuca
$527 Wol.
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Wol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Wol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$395 Wol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 Wol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$389 Wol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Wol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,133Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$26,133Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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