Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJanaina Riva 76%
Mauro Mendes 18%
Jose Medeiros 4.5%
Pedro Taques 2.6%
$23,410 Wol.
$23,410 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
76%
Mauro Mendes
18%
Jose Medeiros
4%
Pedro Taques
3%
Fávaro
2%
Margareth Buzetti
<1%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
<1%
Coronel Darwin
<1%
Galvan
<1%
Beny Godoy
<1%
Janaina Riva 76%
Mauro Mendes 18%
Jose Medeiros 4.5%
Pedro Taques 2.6%
$23,410 Wol.
$23,410 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
$12,802 Wol.
76%
Mauro Mendes
$6,281 Wol.
18%
Jose Medeiros
$601 Wol.
4%
Pedro Taques
$634 Wol.
3%
Fávaro
$542 Wol.
2%
Margareth Buzetti
$495 Wol.
<1%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$491 Wol.
<1%
Coronel Darwin
$491 Wol.
<1%
Galvan
$570 Wol.
<1%
Beny Godoy
$502 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,410Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$23,410Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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