Kevin Hern holds a commanding position as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Hern secured the GOP nomination outright in the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after receiving an early endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic primary produced nurse N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas following an August runoff. Traders price the race at these levels given Hern’s substantial fundraising edge, limited national Democratic investment, and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts that would alter the state’s partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
2026/11/02
ケビン・ハーン（共和党）
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas（民主党）
4%
$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
2026/11/02
ケビン・ハーン（共和党）
$14,066 Vol.
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas（民主党）
$6,582 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern holds a commanding position as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Hern secured the GOP nomination outright in the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after receiving an early endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic primary produced nurse N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas following an August runoff. Traders price the race at these levels given Hern’s substantial fundraising edge, limited national Democratic investment, and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts that would alter the state’s partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$20,648終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern holds a commanding position as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Hern secured the GOP nomination outright in the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after receiving an early endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic primary produced nurse N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas following an August runoff. Traders price the race at these levels given Hern’s substantial fundraising edge, limited national Democratic investment, and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts that would alter the state’s partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,648終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Kevin Hern holds a commanding position as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Hern secured the GOP nomination outright in the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after receiving an early endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic primary produced nurse N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas following an August runoff. Traders price the race at these levels given Hern’s substantial fundraising edge, limited national Democratic investment, and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts that would alter the state’s partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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