Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$46,467 Vol.
$46,467 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
20%
$46,467 Vol.
$46,467 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
$30,174 Vol.
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
$16,293 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$46,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$46,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas’s Republican-leaning electorate, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and recent presidential margins favor the GOP. His easy primary win and established record as a sitting senator reinforce this edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Adam Hamilton’s August primary victory in a crowded field and early fundraising surge drew attention from forecasters, prompting shifts from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican” ratings, yet polling averages continue to show Marshall ahead. Traders’ 80-20 consensus reflects these structural advantages and the state’s partisan baseline, with limited late-cycle developments altering the outlook in the weeks since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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