The competitive 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, following Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations for total general election turnout centered on the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling shows a toss-up with narrow margins that energize both parties’ bases and independents, while the Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signals sustained engagement. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and economic pressures in auto manufacturing further support moderate-to-high participation without evident catalysts for record or depressed extremes. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with these dynamics two months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日460万～480万 48.4%
480万～500万 21%
440万～460万 19%
560万以上 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
4.2M未満
3%
420万～440万
1%
440万～460万
19%
460万～480万
48%
480万～500万
21%
500万～520万
8%
520万〜540万
1%
540万〜560万
2%
560万以上
5%
460万～480万 48.4%
480万～500万 21%
440万～460万 19%
560万以上 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
4.2M未満
$278 Vol.
3%
420万～440万
$249 Vol.
1%
440万～460万
$2,017 Vol.
19%
460万～480万
$822 Vol.
48%
480万～500万
$1,840 Vol.
21%
500万～520万
$251 Vol.
8%
520万〜540万
$2,410 Vol.
1%
540万〜560万
$1,307 Vol.
2%
560万以上
$463 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, following Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations for total general election turnout centered on the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling shows a toss-up with narrow margins that energize both parties’ bases and independents, while the Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signals sustained engagement. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and economic pressures in auto manufacturing further support moderate-to-high participation without evident catalysts for record or depressed extremes. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with these dynamics two months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
音量
$9,635終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, following Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations for total general election turnout centered on the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling shows a toss-up with narrow margins that energize both parties’ bases and independents, while the Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signals sustained engagement. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and economic pressures in auto manufacturing further support moderate-to-high participation without evident catalysts for record or depressed extremes. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with these dynamics two months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,635終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The competitive 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, following Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations for total general election turnout centered on the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling shows a toss-up with narrow margins that energize both parties’ bases and independents, while the Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots signals sustained engagement. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and economic pressures in auto manufacturing further support moderate-to-high participation without evident catalysts for record or depressed extremes. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with these dynamics two months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問