**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total ballots as the most probable range for Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election, reflecting historical midterm participation adjusted for current registration trends.** With roughly 2.06 million active registered voters following extensive list maintenance that removed or inactivated hundreds of thousands of records since 2025, expected turnout of 50–55 percent aligns with the 2022 governor race total of about 1.02 million votes. Nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc, early voting begins October 17, and a competitive contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford could modestly lift participation above the prior midterm baseline without reaching presidential-year levels near 1.49 million. Recent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge and ongoing voter-roll updates continue to anchor expectations in the low-to-mid 1.0–1.2 million range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日105万〜112.5万 45%
90万～97万5千 25%
1,125,000～1,200,000 24%
97万5千～105万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
90万未満
2%
90万～97万5千
25%
97万5千～105万
11%
105万〜112.5万
45%
1,125,000～1,200,000
24%
120万〜127万5千
<1%
1.275M〜1.35M
<1%
135万票以上
<1%
105万〜112.5万 45%
90万～97万5千 25%
1,125,000～1,200,000 24%
97万5千～105万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
90万未満
$2,198 Vol.
2%
90万～97万5千
$1,090 Vol.
25%
97万5千～105万
$689 Vol.
11%
105万〜112.5万
$1,376 Vol.
45%
1,125,000～1,200,000
$1,407 Vol.
24%
120万〜127万5千
$579 Vol.
<1%
1.275M〜1.35M
$410 Vol.
<1%
135万票以上
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total ballots as the most probable range for Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election, reflecting historical midterm participation adjusted for current registration trends.**
With roughly 2.06 million active registered voters following extensive list maintenance that removed or inactivated hundreds of thousands of records since 2025, expected turnout of 50–55 percent aligns with the 2022 governor race total of about 1.02 million votes. Nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc, early voting begins October 17, and a competitive contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford could modestly lift participation above the prior midterm baseline without reaching presidential-year levels near 1.49 million. Recent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge and ongoing voter-roll updates continue to anchor expectations in the low-to-mid 1.0–1.2 million range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
音量
$8,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total ballots as the most probable range for Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election, reflecting historical midterm participation adjusted for current registration trends.**
With roughly 2.06 million active registered voters following extensive list maintenance that removed or inactivated hundreds of thousands of records since 2025, expected turnout of 50–55 percent aligns with the 2022 governor race total of about 1.02 million votes. Nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc, early voting begins October 17, and a competitive contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford could modestly lift participation above the prior midterm baseline without reaching presidential-year levels near 1.49 million. Recent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge and ongoing voter-roll updates continue to anchor expectations in the low-to-mid 1.0–1.2 million range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total ballots as the most probable range for Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election, reflecting historical midterm participation adjusted for current registration trends.** With roughly 2.06 million active registered voters following extensive list maintenance that removed or inactivated hundreds of thousands of records since 2025, expected turnout of 50–55 percent aligns with the 2022 governor race total of about 1.02 million votes. Nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc, early voting begins October 17, and a competitive contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford could modestly lift participation above the prior midterm baseline without reaching presidential-year levels near 1.49 million. Recent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge and ongoing voter-roll updates continue to anchor expectations in the low-to-mid 1.0–1.2 million range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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