Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)

ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)

icon for ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)

ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)

4M-4.2M 44%

4.2M-4.4M 33%

4.4M-4.6M 14%

3.8M-4M 7%

Polymarket
新規

4M-4.2M 44%

4.2M-4.4M 33%

4.4M-4.6M 14%

3.8M-4M 7%

Polymarket
新規

<3.6M

$943 Vol.

2%

3.6M-3.8M

$285 Vol.

<1%

3.8M-4M

$308 Vol.

7%

4M-4.2M

$1,163 Vol.

44%

4.2M-4.4M

$469 Vol.

33%

4.4M-4.6M

$570 Vol.

14%

4.6M-4.8M

$344 Vol.

3%

4.8M+

$170 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins, with recent polling averages showing Ossoff ahead by roughly 7 points, supports trader expectations for moderate total turnout in the November 3 general election. As a midterm in a swing state, participation typically falls below presidential-year levels while exceeding low-profile cycles, influenced by suburban Atlanta mobilization, early and absentee voting patterns, and national midterm dynamics. Recent Republican primary runoff turnout in June provided limited precedent, and no major late-breaking catalysts have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,252
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins, with recent polling averages showing Ossoff ahead by roughly 7 points, supports trader expectations for moderate total turnout in the November 3 general election. As a midterm in a swing state, participation typically falls below presidential-year levels while exceeding low-profile cycles, influenced by suburban Atlanta mobilization, early and absentee voting patterns, and national midterm dynamics. Recent Republican primary runoff turnout in June provided limited precedent, and no major late-breaking catalysts have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,252
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4M-4.2M」で44%、次いで「4.2M-4.4M」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 18, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)」の現在のフロントランナーは「4M-4.2M」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4.2M-4.4M」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジョージア州上院選挙:投票率(第1ラウンド)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。