The competitive 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins, with recent polling averages showing Ossoff ahead by roughly 7 points, supports trader expectations for moderate total turnout in the November 3 general election. As a midterm in a swing state, participation typically falls below presidential-year levels while exceeding low-profile cycles, influenced by suburban Atlanta mobilization, early and absentee voting patterns, and national midterm dynamics. Recent Republican primary runoff turnout in June provided limited precedent, and no major late-breaking catalysts have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4M-4.2M 44%
4.2M-4.4M 33%
4.4M-4.6M 14%
3.8M-4M 7%
<3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
<1%
3.8M-4M
7%
4M-4.2M
44%
4.2M-4.4M
33%
4.4M-4.6M
14%
4.6M-4.8M
3%
4.8M+
5%
4M-4.2M 44%
4.2M-4.4M 33%
4.4M-4.6M 14%
3.8M-4M 7%
<3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
<1%
3.8M-4M
7%
4M-4.2M
44%
4.2M-4.4M
33%
4.4M-4.6M
14%
4.6M-4.8M
3%
4.8M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The competitive 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins, with recent polling averages showing Ossoff ahead by roughly 7 points, supports trader expectations for moderate total turnout in the November 3 general election. As a midterm in a swing state, participation typically falls below presidential-year levels while exceeding low-profile cycles, influenced by suburban Atlanta mobilization, early and absentee voting patterns, and national midterm dynamics. Recent Republican primary runoff turnout in June provided limited precedent, and no major late-breaking catalysts have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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