**The leading 600K-640K turnout range in Idaho’s U.S. Senate election reflects the race’s limited competitiveness and typical midterm participation patterns.** Incumbent Republican Jim Risch faces independent challenger Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 15–30 points, reducing incentives for broad voter mobilization. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May 2026, consistent with prior cycles, while the 2024 general election saw roughly 63% participation in a presidential year. Registered voters exceed 1 million amid ongoing in-migration, yet the absence of a viable Democratic nominee after David Roth’s July withdrawal and the lack of highly contested statewide issues have kept enthusiasm contained. Traders price the narrow band as the consensus outcome given these structural factors and historical midterm baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日600K-640K 50%
640K-680K 38%
680K-720K 9%
520K-560K 5.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<480K
4%
480K-520K
5%
520K-560K
5%
560K-600K
3%
600K-640K
50%
640K-680K
38%
680K-720K
9%
720K+
4%
600K-640K 50%
640K-680K 38%
680K-720K 9%
520K-560K 5.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<480K
$404 Vol.
4%
480K-520K
$357 Vol.
5%
520K-560K
$446 Vol.
5%
560K-600K
$265 Vol.
3%
600K-640K
$2,092 Vol.
50%
640K-680K
$1,325 Vol.
38%
680K-720K
$363 Vol.
9%
720K+
$319 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The leading 600K-640K turnout range in Idaho’s U.S. Senate election reflects the race’s limited competitiveness and typical midterm participation patterns.** Incumbent Republican Jim Risch faces independent challenger Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 15–30 points, reducing incentives for broad voter mobilization. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May 2026, consistent with prior cycles, while the 2024 general election saw roughly 63% participation in a presidential year. Registered voters exceed 1 million amid ongoing in-migration, yet the absence of a viable Democratic nominee after David Roth’s July withdrawal and the lack of highly contested statewide issues have kept enthusiasm contained. Traders price the narrow band as the consensus outcome given these structural factors and historical midterm baselines.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
音量
$5,570終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The leading 600K-640K turnout range in Idaho’s U.S. Senate election reflects the race’s limited competitiveness and typical midterm participation patterns.** Incumbent Republican Jim Risch faces independent challenger Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 15–30 points, reducing incentives for broad voter mobilization. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May 2026, consistent with prior cycles, while the 2024 general election saw roughly 63% participation in a presidential year. Registered voters exceed 1 million amid ongoing in-migration, yet the absence of a viable Democratic nominee after David Roth’s July withdrawal and the lack of highly contested statewide issues have kept enthusiasm contained. Traders price the narrow band as the consensus outcome given these structural factors and historical midterm baselines.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,570終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**The leading 600K-640K turnout range in Idaho’s U.S. Senate election reflects the race’s limited competitiveness and typical midterm participation patterns.** Incumbent Republican Jim Risch faces independent challenger Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 15–30 points, reducing incentives for broad voter mobilization. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May 2026, consistent with prior cycles, while the 2024 general election saw roughly 63% participation in a presidential year. Registered voters exceed 1 million amid ongoing in-migration, yet the absence of a viable Democratic nominee after David Roth’s July withdrawal and the lack of highly contested statewide issues have kept enthusiasm contained. Traders price the narrow band as the consensus outcome given these structural factors and historical midterm baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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