Maryland’s solidly Democratic lean and incumbent Gov. Wes Moore’s wide polling lead over Republican Dan Cox in their 2022 rematch have produced a tight distribution of turnout probabilities, with no single range exceeding 25 percent. Low June primary participation of roughly 24 percent, the weakest since 2014, reflects limited excitement in uncompetitive races and the closed primary system that excludes over one million unaffiliated voters. Factors that could shift totals include the October 6 debate, mobilization around affordability and state-federal tensions, early voting trends, and any late changes in third-party ballot access. Historical general-election participation rates and registration patterns keep the range of likely outcomes broad until closer to November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日185万～200万 35%
200万〜215万 31%
230万～245万 26%
170万～185万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
1.55M未満
3%
155万～170万
10%
170万～185万
11%
185万～200万
35%
200万〜215万
31%
215万〜230万
5%
230万～245万
26%
245万以上
4%
185万～200万 35%
200万〜215万 31%
230万～245万 26%
170万～185万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
1.55M未満
$1,028 Vol.
3%
155万～170万
$83 Vol.
10%
170万～185万
$76 Vol.
11%
185万～200万
$356 Vol.
35%
200万〜215万
$541 Vol.
31%
215万〜230万
$47 Vol.
5%
230万～245万
$89 Vol.
26%
245万以上
$60 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maryland’s solidly Democratic lean and incumbent Gov. Wes Moore’s wide polling lead over Republican Dan Cox in their 2022 rematch have produced a tight distribution of turnout probabilities, with no single range exceeding 25 percent. Low June primary participation of roughly 24 percent, the weakest since 2014, reflects limited excitement in uncompetitive races and the closed primary system that excludes over one million unaffiliated voters. Factors that could shift totals include the October 6 debate, mobilization around affordability and state-federal tensions, early voting trends, and any late changes in third-party ballot access. Historical general-election participation rates and registration patterns keep the range of likely outcomes broad until closer to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
音量
$2,282終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maryland’s solidly Democratic lean and incumbent Gov. Wes Moore’s wide polling lead over Republican Dan Cox in their 2022 rematch have produced a tight distribution of turnout probabilities, with no single range exceeding 25 percent. Low June primary participation of roughly 24 percent, the weakest since 2014, reflects limited excitement in uncompetitive races and the closed primary system that excludes over one million unaffiliated voters. Factors that could shift totals include the October 6 debate, mobilization around affordability and state-federal tensions, early voting trends, and any late changes in third-party ballot access. Historical general-election participation rates and registration patterns keep the range of likely outcomes broad until closer to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,282終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Maryland’s solidly Democratic lean and incumbent Gov. Wes Moore’s wide polling lead over Republican Dan Cox in their 2022 rematch have produced a tight distribution of turnout probabilities, with no single range exceeding 25 percent. Low June primary participation of roughly 24 percent, the weakest since 2014, reflects limited excitement in uncompetitive races and the closed primary system that excludes over one million unaffiliated voters. Factors that could shift totals include the October 6 debate, mobilization around affordability and state-federal tensions, early voting trends, and any late changes in third-party ballot access. Historical general-election participation rates and registration patterns keep the range of likely outcomes broad until closer to November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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