The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日130万～140万 33%
140万～150万 21%
170万〜180万 18%
160万～170万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
120万未満
1%
120万～130万
8%
130万～140万
33%
140万～150万
21%
150万～160万
8%
160万～170万
11%
170万〜180万
18%
180万以上
<1%
130万～140万 33%
140万～150万 21%
170万〜180万 18%
160万～170万 11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
120万未満
$1,409 Vol.
1%
120万～130万
$45 Vol.
8%
130万～140万
$144 Vol.
33%
140万～150万
$28 Vol.
21%
150万～160万
$45 Vol.
8%
160万～170万
$28 Vol.
11%
170万〜180万
$28 Vol.
18%
180万以上
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
音量
$1,911終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,911終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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