Minnesota's open U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, following Tina Smith's retirement, has sustained strong mobilization two months before the November 3 contest. Recent primary turnout exceeded prior cycles, with absentee ballots already surpassing 2024 and 2022 levels amid competitive intraparty contests. Minnesota's established high participation rates—76.4% in 2024 and 60.4% in 2022—combined with expanded early and mail voting options, support trader consensus around 2.75M–3.05M total ballots. The narrow polling margin and open-seat dynamics keep multiple turnout brackets closely priced, as modest shifts in suburban enthusiasm or rural mobilization could separate the leading ranges before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日275万～290万 47%
305万以上 44%
290万〜305万 44%
245万〜260万 43%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
200万未満
40%
200万〜215万
42%
215万～230万
37%
230万～245万
26%
245万〜260万
43%
260万～275万
41%
275万～290万
47%
290万〜305万
44%
305万以上
44%
275万～290万 47%
305万以上 44%
290万〜305万 44%
245万〜260万 43%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
200万未満
$25 Vol.
40%
200万〜215万
$25 Vol.
42%
215万～230万
$25 Vol.
37%
230万～245万
$25 Vol.
26%
245万〜260万
$25 Vol.
43%
260万～275万
$25 Vol.
41%
275万～290万
$28 Vol.
47%
290万〜305万
$25 Vol.
44%
305万以上
$25 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, following Tina Smith's retirement, has sustained strong mobilization two months before the November 3 contest. Recent primary turnout exceeded prior cycles, with absentee ballots already surpassing 2024 and 2022 levels amid competitive intraparty contests. Minnesota's established high participation rates—76.4% in 2024 and 60.4% in 2022—combined with expanded early and mail voting options, support trader consensus around 2.75M–3.05M total ballots. The narrow polling margin and open-seat dynamics keep multiple turnout brackets closely priced, as modest shifts in suburban enthusiasm or rural mobilization could separate the leading ranges before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
音量
$229終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, following Tina Smith's retirement, has sustained strong mobilization two months before the November 3 contest. Recent primary turnout exceeded prior cycles, with absentee ballots already surpassing 2024 and 2022 levels amid competitive intraparty contests. Minnesota's established high participation rates—76.4% in 2024 and 60.4% in 2022—combined with expanded early and mail voting options, support trader consensus around 2.75M–3.05M total ballots. The narrow polling margin and open-seat dynamics keep multiple turnout brackets closely priced, as modest shifts in suburban enthusiasm or rural mobilization could separate the leading ranges before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$229終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, following Tina Smith's retirement, has sustained strong mobilization two months before the November 3 contest. Recent primary turnout exceeded prior cycles, with absentee ballots already surpassing 2024 and 2022 levels amid competitive intraparty contests. Minnesota's established high participation rates—76.4% in 2024 and 60.4% in 2022—combined with expanded early and mail voting options, support trader consensus around 2.75M–3.05M total ballots. The narrow polling margin and open-seat dynamics keep multiple turnout brackets closely priced, as modest shifts in suburban enthusiasm or rural mobilization could separate the leading ranges before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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