The competitive open-seat Wisconsin governor race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated as a toss-up in recent polling averages, supports trader emphasis on the 2.6M-2.8M and adjacent 2.8M-3M turnout brackets. Wisconsin's elevated midterm participation patterns, including 59.8% turnout in 2022 and strong primary engagement with over 792,000 Democratic ballots cast in August 2026, reflect sustained base mobilization and independent voter interest in a close contest. Moderates, who comprise a notable share of the electorate but participate at lower rates, add uncertainty around the upper and lower edges of these ranges without clear evidence of unusually high or suppressed overall participation ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日260万～280万 50%
280万〜300万 29%
240万～260万 20%
300万〜320万 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
220万未満
1%
220万〜240万
1%
240万～260万
19%
260万～280万
50%
280万〜300万
29%
300万〜320万
5%
320万以上
4%
260万～280万 50%
280万〜300万 29%
240万～260万 20%
300万〜320万 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
220万未満
$264 Vol.
1%
220万〜240万
$1,225 Vol.
1%
240万～260万
$264 Vol.
19%
260万～280万
$1,199 Vol.
50%
280万〜300万
$1,624 Vol.
29%
300万〜320万
$313 Vol.
5%
320万以上
$1,426 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive open-seat Wisconsin governor race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated as a toss-up in recent polling averages, supports trader emphasis on the 2.6M-2.8M and adjacent 2.8M-3M turnout brackets. Wisconsin's elevated midterm participation patterns, including 59.8% turnout in 2022 and strong primary engagement with over 792,000 Democratic ballots cast in August 2026, reflect sustained base mobilization and independent voter interest in a close contest. Moderates, who comprise a notable share of the electorate but participate at lower rates, add uncertainty around the upper and lower edges of these ranges without clear evidence of unusually high or suppressed overall participation ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
音量
$6,315終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive open-seat Wisconsin governor race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated as a toss-up in recent polling averages, supports trader emphasis on the 2.6M-2.8M and adjacent 2.8M-3M turnout brackets. Wisconsin's elevated midterm participation patterns, including 59.8% turnout in 2022 and strong primary engagement with over 792,000 Democratic ballots cast in August 2026, reflect sustained base mobilization and independent voter interest in a close contest. Moderates, who comprise a notable share of the electorate but participate at lower rates, add uncertainty around the upper and lower edges of these ranges without clear evidence of unusually high or suppressed overall participation ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,315終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The competitive open-seat Wisconsin governor race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated as a toss-up in recent polling averages, supports trader emphasis on the 2.6M-2.8M and adjacent 2.8M-3M turnout brackets. Wisconsin's elevated midterm participation patterns, including 59.8% turnout in 2022 and strong primary engagement with over 792,000 Democratic ballots cast in August 2026, reflect sustained base mobilization and independent voter interest in a close contest. Moderates, who comprise a notable share of the electorate but participate at lower rates, add uncertainty around the upper and lower edges of these ranges without clear evidence of unusually high or suppressed overall participation ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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