The Bank of Russia’s September 11 decision is expected to hold the key rate at 14.00% after the July 25-basis-point cut, reflecting elevated inflation near 6.3% year-over-year and an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 6.0–7.0%. Persistent pro-inflationary pressures from more expansionary fiscal policy, recent fuel-price spikes, and still-elevated inflation expectations have prompted a more cautious stance, with officials signaling smoother easing and higher average-rate paths for 2026–2027. Moderate economic growth around 1% and business concerns over potential overheating or cooling have not yet outweighed these risks, keeping the probability of a further reduction low. An increase remains unlikely absent sharp new upside surprises in price data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 90%
引き下げ 8%
引き上げ 2.7%
$344,002 Vol.
$344,002 Vol.
引き下げ
8%
据え置き
90%
引き上げ
3%
据え置き 90%
引き下げ 8%
引き上げ 2.7%
$344,002 Vol.
$344,002 Vol.
引き下げ
8%
据え置き
90%
引き上げ
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s September 11 decision is expected to hold the key rate at 14.00% after the July 25-basis-point cut, reflecting elevated inflation near 6.3% year-over-year and an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 6.0–7.0%. Persistent pro-inflationary pressures from more expansionary fiscal policy, recent fuel-price spikes, and still-elevated inflation expectations have prompted a more cautious stance, with officials signaling smoother easing and higher average-rate paths for 2026–2027. Moderate economic growth around 1% and business concerns over potential overheating or cooling have not yet outweighed these risks, keeping the probability of a further reduction low. An increase remains unlikely absent sharp new upside surprises in price data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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