**Forecast models for Wellington on September 10, 2026, point to a minimum temperature between 7–10 °C, reflecting modest overnight cooling under variable cloud cover and shifting winds.** Recent runs show a frontal passage bringing rain and northwesterly flow early, followed by a southerly shift that limits further temperature drop, with dew points near 8–10 °C supporting that range. Official guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF analogs) highlights uncertainty in the exact low tied to the timing of clearing skies and wind speeds around 15–25 km/h, which affect boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 8–9 °C, placing current trader-implied odds (peaking at 9 °C) in line with typical spring variability rather than extremes. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria for the official daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 10 settembre?
8°C 50%
10°C 50%
9°C 49%
6°C 47%
3°C o inferiore
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
47%
7°C
47%
8°C
50%
9°C
49%
10°C
50%
11°C
48%
12°C
<1%
13°C o superiore
<1%
8°C 50%
10°C 50%
9°C 49%
6°C 47%
3°C o inferiore
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
47%
7°C
47%
8°C
50%
9°C
49%
10°C
50%
11°C
48%
12°C
<1%
13°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Wellington on September 10, 2026, point to a minimum temperature between 7–10 °C, reflecting modest overnight cooling under variable cloud cover and shifting winds.** Recent runs show a frontal passage bringing rain and northwesterly flow early, followed by a southerly shift that limits further temperature drop, with dew points near 8–10 °C supporting that range. Official guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF analogs) highlights uncertainty in the exact low tied to the timing of clearing skies and wind speeds around 15–25 km/h, which affect boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 8–9 °C, placing current trader-implied odds (peaking at 9 °C) in line with typical spring variability rather than extremes. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria for the official daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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