Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a departing warm ridge, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit insolation. Official monitoring stations recorded 29°C the prior day, confirming a sharp transition consistent with seasonal climatology for early September. Trader positioning at 92.5% for 20°C reflects this tight forecast envelope, though modest revisions in boundary-layer mixing or timing of precipitation could shift the observed high by 1–2°C before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 10 settembre?
20°C 97%
21°C 3%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,103 Vol.
$118,103 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
97%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 97%
21°C 3%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,103 Vol.
$118,103 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
97%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a departing warm ridge, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit insolation. Official monitoring stations recorded 29°C the prior day, confirming a sharp transition consistent with seasonal climatology for early September. Trader positioning at 92.5% for 20°C reflects this tight forecast envelope, though modest revisions in boundary-layer mixing or timing of precipitation could shift the observed high by 1–2°C before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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