The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Toronto l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Toronto l'11 settembre?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o meno <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,211 Vol.
$52,211 Vol.
11 set 2026
18°C o meno
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sì
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C o meno <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,211 Vol.
$52,211 Vol.
11 set 2026
18°C o meno
$316 Vol.
No
19°C
$268 Vol.
No
20°C
$946 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,428 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,920 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,965 Vol.
Sì
24°C
$9,767 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,842 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,908 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,368 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$1,481 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$52,211Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,211Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti