Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington l'11 settembre?
15°C 59%
14°C 28%
16°C 12%
13°C 3%
$10,382 Vol.
$10,382 Vol.
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
28%
15°C
59%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 59%
14°C 28%
16°C 12%
13°C 3%
$10,382 Vol.
$10,382 Vol.
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
28%
15°C
59%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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