Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco indicate an overnight low near 60°F on September 11, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds favoring radiational cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as model consensus from regional guidance shows minimal marine layer intrusion or cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical September normals place average lows around 56°F, but 2026 early-month observations have trended 2–4°F above baseline amid warmer-than-typical offshore flow, reducing odds for 51°F or below despite the 39% market share. Updated model runs and evening observations on September 10 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di San Francisco l'11 settembre?
60-61°F 57%
70°F o superiore 39%
51°F o inferiore 29%
58-59°F 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
29%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
20%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
57%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
19%
70°F o superiore
39%
60-61°F 57%
70°F o superiore 39%
51°F o inferiore 29%
58-59°F 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
29%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
20%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$115 Vol.
57%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco indicate an overnight low near 60°F on September 11, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds favoring radiational cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as model consensus from regional guidance shows minimal marine layer intrusion or cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical September normals place average lows around 56°F, but 2026 early-month observations have trended 2–4°F above baseline amid warmer-than-typical offshore flow, reducing odds for 51°F or below despite the 39% market share. Updated model runs and evening observations on September 10 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$115Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco indicate an overnight low near 60°F on September 11, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds favoring radiational cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as model consensus from regional guidance shows minimal marine layer intrusion or cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical September normals place average lows around 56°F, but 2026 early-month observations have trended 2–4°F above baseline amid warmer-than-typical offshore flow, reducing odds for 51°F or below despite the 39% market share. Updated model runs and evening observations on September 10 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco indicate an overnight low near 60°F on September 11, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds favoring radiational cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as model consensus from regional guidance shows minimal marine layer intrusion or cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical September normals place average lows around 56°F, but 2026 early-month observations have trended 2–4°F above baseline amid warmer-than-typical offshore flow, reducing odds for 51°F or below despite the 39% market share. Updated model runs and evening observations on September 10 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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