The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C on September 9 established the market's near-certain resolution at that level. Verified station data aligned with regional synoptic conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover that permitted typical late-summer heating without exceeding seasonal baselines. Model consensus from nearby ECMWF and GFS runs had already pointed to this range days earlier, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen post-processing correction or instrument anomaly could alter the outcome, though historical Observatory practices make such changes rare after initial release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 9 settembre?
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,540 Vol.
$166,540 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,540 Vol.
$166,540 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C on September 9 established the market's near-certain resolution at that level. Verified station data aligned with regional synoptic conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover that permitted typical late-summer heating without exceeding seasonal baselines. Model consensus from nearby ECMWF and GFS runs had already pointed to this range days earlier, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen post-processing correction or instrument anomaly could alter the outcome, though historical Observatory practices make such changes rare after initial release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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