Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 21 project a daily minimum of 27°C under weak easterly winds, scattered showers, and high humidity near 70-95%, consistent with current regional observations showing overnight stabilization around that threshold amid partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region while reflecting the influence of an upper-air disturbance limiting stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall intensity. A sudden intensification of showers or shift to stronger northerly flow could realistically produce a lower minimum, though current guidance shows low probability of such outcomes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 21 settembre?
27°C 93%
25°C 5%
26°C 5%
22°C o inferiore 2%
$11,549 Vol.
$11,549 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 93%
25°C 5%
26°C 5%
22°C o inferiore 2%
$11,549 Vol.
$11,549 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 21 project a daily minimum of 27°C under weak easterly winds, scattered showers, and high humidity near 70-95%, consistent with current regional observations showing overnight stabilization around that threshold amid partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region while reflecting the influence of an upper-air disturbance limiting stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall intensity. A sudden intensification of showers or shift to stronger northerly flow could realistically produce a lower minimum, though current guidance shows low probability of such outcomes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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