The market's heavy weighting toward 24°C or below for Sao Paulo's September 22 high reflects forecast consensus for cooler, unsettled conditions driven by an approaching weather system, with increased cloud cover, showers, and rain expected to limit daytime warming. Multiple models project highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 70-98% precipitation chances and northerly to westerly winds, a sharp drop from recent peaks near 32°C. This aligns with September's climatological average high near 23°C while current atmospheric patterns accelerate cooling. Traders await the next INMET and global model updates for any revisions ahead of the day's official maximum temperature reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 22 settembre?
24°C o inferiore 85%
25°C 6%
27°C 6%
26°C 5%
24°C o inferiore
85%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
24°C o inferiore 85%
25°C 6%
27°C 6%
26°C 5%
24°C o inferiore
85%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The market's heavy weighting toward 24°C or below for Sao Paulo's September 22 high reflects forecast consensus for cooler, unsettled conditions driven by an approaching weather system, with increased cloud cover, showers, and rain expected to limit daytime warming. Multiple models project highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 70-98% precipitation chances and northerly to westerly winds, a sharp drop from recent peaks near 32°C. This aligns with September's climatological average high near 23°C while current atmospheric patterns accelerate cooling. Traders await the next INMET and global model updates for any revisions ahead of the day's official maximum temperature reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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