Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northerly winds that advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate solar heating. Strong gusts up to 25–35 knots may enhance mixing and limit peak warming, while any earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Market odds favoring 15°C (48.5%) over 16°C (39%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as ensemble spreads show most runs clustering near 14–15°C with limited upside potential from transient northerly strengthening. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum at the Wellington observation site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 21 settembre?
15°C 57%
16°C 30%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
$19,918 Vol.
$19,918 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
9%
15°C
57%
16°C
30%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 57%
16°C 30%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
$19,918 Vol.
$19,918 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
9%
15°C
57%
16°C
30%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northerly winds that advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate solar heating. Strong gusts up to 25–35 knots may enhance mixing and limit peak warming, while any earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Market odds favoring 15°C (48.5%) over 16°C (39%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as ensemble spreads show most runs clustering near 14–15°C with limited upside potential from transient northerly strengthening. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum at the Wellington observation site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti