Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 22 settembre?
26°C 53%
27°C o superiore 30%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
53%
27°C o superiore
30%
26°C 53%
27°C o superiore 30%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
2%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$13 Vol.
2%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$36 Vol.
4%
24°C
$65 Vol.
5%
25°C
$51 Vol.
15%
26°C
$460 Vol.
53%
27°C o superiore
$126 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$864Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$864Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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